Bears vs. Buccaneers picks, best predictions from NFL expert on 20-9 roll

With just one winning season over the last seven years, the Chicago Bears are looking to move forward in 2020. They won their first three contests, but stalled last Sunday and were held to three points for the first 58 minutes, 25 seconds of their 19-11 loss to Indianapolis. The Bears will attempt to bounce back when they host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Thursday Night Football. Kickoff from Soldier Field is set for 8:20 p.m. ET.

a baseball player holding a bat on a field: ATLANTA, GA - SEPTEMBER 27: Nick Foles #9 of the Chicago Bears passes during the second half of an NFL game against the Atlanta Falcons at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on September 27, 2020 in Atlanta, Georgia. 

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ATLANTA, GA – SEPTEMBER 27: Nick Foles #9 of the Chicago Bears passes during the second half of an NFL game against the Atlanta Falcons at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on September 27, 2020 in Atlanta, Georgia. 

The Bears were limited to only 28 rushing yards in Week 4 and have another difficult matchup against a Tampa Bay defense that ranks second in the NFL against the run (64.3 yards). The Buccaneers (3-1) are coming off their third consecutive victory, a 38-31 win over the Los Angeles Chargers in which Tom Brady threw five touchdowns. William Hill lists Tampa Bay as a three-point favorite in its latest Bears vs. Buccaneers odds after the line climbed as high as 5.5, while the over-under is 44.5. Before you make any Buccaneers vs. Bears picks of your own, check out what SportsLine NFL expert R.J. White has to say. 

White’s picks are coveted by fans everywhere, and the stats guru has cashed huge twice in the world’s most prestigious handicapping tournament, the Westgate Las Vegas SuperContest. From 2015 through 2019, White went 233-174-18 in the SuperContest, nailing more than 57 percent of his picks and cashing twice.

In addition, White is dialed in to the tendencies of these two teams, going an amazing 50-24 on spread picks involving Chicago or Tampa Bay, including a 20-9 mark on the Bucs. Anyone who has followed his NFL picks is way up. 

Now, White has looked at Buccaneers vs. Bears from every possible angle. You can head to SportsLine to see the picks. Here are the NFL odds and trends for Bears vs. Buccaneers:

  • Bears vs. Buccaneers spread: Tampa Bay -3
  • Bears vs. Buccaneers over-under: 44.5
  • Bears vs. Buccaneers money line: Tampa Bay -175, Chicago +155
  • TB: WR Scotty Miller’s 15 catches are more than the 13 he had in all of 2019.
  • CHI: WR Allen Robinson has 17 catches for 224 yards and two TDs over the past two games.

Why the Buccaneers can cover

Tampa Bay is 3-1-1 against the spread in its last five games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in the previous game, and the Bucs put up 484 in a 38-31 win against the Chargers. Brady threw for 369 and five touchdowns, with five different players scoring, as the Bucs rallied from 17 points down for their third straight win. Mike Evans scored one of those touchdowns and had 122 yards, while slot receiver Scotty Miller had 83 yards and also scored.

Ronald Jones rushed for 111 yards for the Bucs, who are 4-1 against the spread in their last five road games. The defense ranks fourth in the league in total yards (312 per game), and Shaquil Barrett and Jason Pierre-Paul both have three sacks. The front is stout and the unit is second against the run (64.3 yards per game) with 347-pound tackle Vita Vea clogging the middle. The secondary is young, but safety Antoine Winfield is a playmaker, with two sacks and a forced fumble.

Why the Bears can cover

Nick Foles was unable to keep Chicago undefeated in his first start since being acquired from Jacksonville in March. The 31-year-old has performed well against Tampa Bay over his career, however, throwing for 1,104 yards and six touchdowns while also running for a pair of scores in four meetings. Foles also is one of only two quarterbacks (Eli Manning) to defeat Tom Brady in a Super Bowl, accomplishing the feat with Philadelphia. 

Tight end Jimmy Graham is becoming a major part of the Bears’ offense, making 10 catches in his last two games after totaling four over the first two contests. Wide receiver Darnell Mooney, who hauled in five passes for 52 yards on Sunday, has gotten his career off to a strong start and is seventh among all rookies with 13 receptions and 135 yards. Meanwhile, Chicago is dangerous on special teams, as kick returner Cordarrelle Patterson ranks No. 1 in the league with 349 return yards.

How to make Bears vs. Buccaneers picks

White has analyzed this matchup, and while he’s leaning under on the total, he has discovered a critical X-factor that has him jumping all over one side of the spread. He’s only sharing it at SportsLine. 

So who wins Buccaneers vs. Bears on Thursday Night Football? And what critical X-factor makes one side of the spread a must-back? Visit SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Bears vs. Buccaneers spread you should be all over Thursday night, all from the expert who’s 20-9 on Tampa Bay picks.

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